Dr. Kapil Choudhary
Agriculture University Jodhpur
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Dr. Kapil Choudhary developed an early interest in forecasting and dedicated his academic pursuits to mastering the intricacies of agriculture statistics. He earned his Master's and Ph.D. from ICAR-IARI, New Delhi. His research interests are time series forecasting, machine learning and deep learning.
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Decomposition Based Deep Learning model for forecasting
Hybrid model is the most promising forecasting method by combining decomposition and deep learning techniques to improve the accuracy of time series forecasting. Each decomposition technique decomposes a time series into a set of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs), and the obtained IMFs are modelled and forecasted separately using the deep learning
models. Finally, the forecasts of all IMFs are combined to provide an ensemble output for the time series. The prediction ability of the developed models are calculated in terms of evaluation criteria like root mean squared error,mean absolute percentage error and, mean absolute error.
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